Cryptocurrency analyst EGRAG CRYPTO (@egragcrypto) has released a weekly chart breakdown of XRP, pointing to what he views as the third occurrence of a recurring four-stage macro framework. Every past instance culminated in a substantial price surge. XRP currently changes hands at $1.39, hovering close to critical support as the setup nears completion.
Spanning XRP’s price action from 2018 onward, the chart highlights three distinct macro cycles, each broken down into four sequential phases. Both the 2018–2020 and 2021–2024 cycles successfully ran through all four stages prior to a major upward surge.
The present cycle, which kicked off in 2025 following a late 2024 breakout, has finished three of its phases. Raising the question of whether the fourth stage is currently initializing, EGRAG CRYPTO characterized it as the fourth touch ahead of a massive rally.
#XRP – THE 4TH TOUCH BEFORE THE MEGA BLASTOFF?
WEEKLY TIME FRAME – HISTORY RHYMING AGAIN!
Look closely at the THREE MACRO STRUCTURES:
2018–2020: 1⃣ 2⃣ 3⃣ 4⃣ → EXPLOSION!2021–2024: 1⃣ 2⃣ 3⃣ 4⃣ → EXPLOSION!
Notice… pic.twitter.com/zemDw673aE
— EGRAG CRYPTO (@egragcrypto) October 11, 2026
The Four-Stage Cycle
Every cycle mapped on the chart depicts the price advancing through four defined phases before triggering a breakout. Stage 1 represents a top, while Stages 2, 3, and 4 build a downward-sloping, compressive pattern. In the two earlier cycles, a breakout came directly after stage 4. EGRAG CRYPTO points out that current valuations align with what would be the fourth phase of the 2025–2026 cycle.
He remains cautious regarding the setup’s boundaries, emphasizing, “The 4th stage alone isn’t confirmation. We need a WEEKLY BREAKOUT.”
Key Levels to Watch
The chart flags $1.24 as a vital support threshold for XRP, with an additional safety net resting lower at $1.06. Overhead resistance sits at $1.67, which is designated as the primary breakout point. A confirmed weekly close above that barrier is required to validate the bullish scenario.
Trading at $1.39, XRP sits right between the $1.24 support level and the $1.67 resistance ceiling. EGRAG CRYPTO views the broader macro outlook as bullish while categorizing the short-term micro structure as corrective.
Fibonacci Targets
To forecast potential upward price objectives originating from the macro pattern, EGRAG CRYPTO utilizes Fibonacci extension levels. His projected targets are $3.57, $9.36, and $15.47, tied to the 1.272, 1.414, and 1.618 Fibonacci ratios, respectively. A further extension of the 1.618 level points to $31.86. He stresses that these figures are intended as prospective goals rather than certainties.
The Overall Position
EGRAG CRYPTO views the current configuration as a scenario demanding patience prior to any definitive confirmation, summarizing that “patience is where the big money is made.” The underlying premise relies on the repetition of a recognizable structure across three distinct multi-year cycles.
Ultimately, EGRAG CRYPTO raises the fundamental question of whether this trend is merely coincidental or indicative of repeating market behavior. Price action near the $1.24 support and $1.67 resistance markers will dictate if the pattern holds true once more.