Prominent technical analyst EGRAG CRYPTO (@egragcrypto) has published an analysis of XRP’s monthly chart, highlighting a macro framework that has now repeated across three distinct market cycles.
Spanning back to 2014, the chart employs a logarithmic scale to fully encompass XRP’s historical price action. The visualization demonstrates a recurring structural rhythm appearing at the exact same phase during each cycle.
Three Cycles and One Atlas Line
Three separate cycles are outlined on the chart, each marked by a descending trendline. Line 1 dictated the 2018–2020 timeframe, while Line 2 framed the 2021–2023 span. Line 3 represents the active descending pattern, against which XRP is presently pushing.
Positioned underneath all three is what EGRAG CRYPTO calls the Atlas Line, a long-term ascending support boundary that has remained intact across every cycle since 2014. The asset’s price has consistently gravitated toward this baseline and found support.
#XRP – ZOOM OUT! YOU HAVE NO IDEA WHAT'S COMING! :
Guys, look at the MONTHLY chart!
THREE CYCLES. THREE DESCENDING LINES. ONE MACRO ATLAS LINE!
In previous cycles, XRP struggled to reclaim the 21 EMA before exploding higher.
— EGRAG CRYPTO (@egragcrypto) October 30, 2026
The 21 EMA and the Repeating Setup
Each cycle featured an extended consolidation phase underneath the 21 exponential moving average (EMA) prior to a substantial upward surge. The initial consolidation lasted 30 bars (912 days), followed by a second lasting 23 bars (699 days). The ongoing consolidation currently stands at 17 bars and 518 days.
Every successive timeframe has contracted relative to the previous one. In the two finished cycles, recapturing the 21 EMA acted as the definitive turning point. XRP is currently highlighted at that identical juncture within its third cycle, trading near $1.25 as it works to maintain its position above the 21 EMA.
Where the Fibonacci Targets Land
For this current cycle, EGRAG CRYPTO has mapped out three Fibonacci extension goals on the chart. The initial target is set at $6.80, the second at $16.17, and the third at $31.64, corresponding to the 1.618, 1.888, and a broader 1.618 extensions, respectively.
While the analyst does not provide an exact timeframe for the ongoing correction, he maintains that “the next move could be SHOCKINGLY FAST.”
The Positioning Right Now
EGRAG CRYPTO has detailed a straightforward strategy regarding the present market conditions. Spot market participants can view the current price zone as an opportunity to accumulate, whereas leveraged traders are advised to safeguard their margins and steer clear of liquidations.
He has personally noted that he is holding cash reserves and awaiting further confirmation before establishing another long position.
A Structure Built on Repetition
With two cycles successfully concluded and a third underway, the pattern shows shrinking consolidation durations alongside a fresh test of the 21 EMA. The Atlas Line continues to hold firm; while EGRAG CRYPTO’s technical mapping is not a crystal ball for the future, it highlights an underlying structural pattern that has previously unfolded twice before.