While XRP might theoretically climb to $10,000, Jake Community XRP argues that very few investors will keep their tokens long enough to witness that milestone.
Through a recent post on X, the XRP commentator detailed a tiered selling pattern across various investor demographics as prices rise. An accompanying video built upon these ideas by analyzing market supply, exchange reserves, institutional accumulation, and future demand catalysts.
Most XRP Holders Could Sell Early
“XRP could never reach $10,000 because the elites wouldn’t let people become millionaires that easily,” Jake Community XRP stated, before providing an additional hurdle for reaching that price point.
The commentary projects that 90% of market participants will liquidate their entire positions once XRP hits $10. Furthermore, another 9% are expected to exit at $100, leaving just 0.9% to sell at $1,000. Ultimately, the analysis suggests that a mere 0.1% of holders will retain their assets until the token reaches $10,000.
Video Examines XRP’s Available Supply
The accompanying video centered its analysis on the tokenomics and supply distribution of XRP. The presenter noted a maximum token supply of 100 billion, with approximately 62 billion XRP currently in circulation.
Exchange reserves were a primary focus, with the speaker stating that only 1.6 billion XRP remain on trading platforms ready for immediate purchase. The remainder has reportedly been transferred into cold storage, institutional custody solutions, or exchange-traded funds (ETFs).
This constrained exchange liquidity could prove critical if buying pressure escalates. Additionally, the video highlighted 7 billion XRP in exchange outflows during February, attributing 91% of those withdrawals to institutional entities and whales.
Institutional Accumulation Drives The Argument
The presentation underscored a resurgence in wallets holding 1 million or more XRP, noting that these accounts have resumed accumulation following a months-long downward trend.
Citing U.S. XRP ETFs, the speaker reported that these funds currently manage $1.1 billion in assets. The narrative suggests institutions may eventually leverage XRP for cross-border payments rather than treating it solely as a speculative investment.
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The speaker linked this anticipated demand to ongoing advancements within the XRP Ledger, observing that financial institutions are actively establishing the necessary infrastructure to facilitate increased adoption.
Demand Could Test Available Supply
Addressing Ripple’s routine escrow operations, the speaker calculated that roughly 200 million to 300 million XRP enter circulation from escrow each month. However, he pointed out that ongoing institutional withdrawals continue to absorb these tokens from the open market.
In the speaker’s view, this dynamic could lead to a scenario where market demand outstrips available liquidity.
Ultimately, the perspective shared by Jake Community XRP frames a $10,000 valuation as an extreme scenario that a minuscule fraction of the investor base will actually experience.