XRP has been held back by a single resistance zone for weeks, and crypto analyst CasiTrades (@CasiTrades) suggests the asset has one final upward push remaining before that area dictates its next move. Currently trading on the 4-hour Coinbase chart at $1.4995, up 0.87%, her analysis maps out a run toward $1.70 that will subsequently lead to a deeper correction.
A Third Test of Major Resistance
CasiTrades anticipates that XRP will finish one additional upward wave and make another run at the $1.65 to $1.70 resistance zone. The cryptocurrency has spent weeks consolidating underneath this threshold. Upon zooming in on wave 5, she noted that “the subwaves still don’t look complete.”
Her chart highlights a pink box close to $1.70, where the 0.5 extension is positioned at $1.6568 and the 0.618 extension is at $1.7052. Just beneath this area lies a green band spanning roughly $1.53 to $1.64. At the moment, XRP is trading within a compact wedge situated right below that band.
XRP's THIRD Test of $1.70 Could Be The Most Important Yet!
Over the next few days, I'm watching for ripple:native to complete one more wave up and test the major $1.65–$1.70 resistance again.
We've been consolidating under this level for WEEKS and when I zoom into W5,… pic.twitter.com/TTSl6ceJUT
— CasiTrades
(@CasiTrades) October 1, 2026
Watching the RSI Divergence
The macro Relative Strength Index (RSI) already displays a bearish posture. As the price approaches resistance, CasiTrades is looking for “another degree of bearish divergence.” Her chart registers an RSI reading of 49.27. A green arrow tracks its upward movement toward a descending black trendline, and she explains that this divergence will signal that wave 5 has exhausted its momentum and wave 1 has concluded.
Patience At Wave 5 of Wave 5
Current price levels prompt CasiTrades to advise patience. Because wave 5 has already hit its 0.5 extension, any buyer entering the market today would be stepping into wave 5 of wave 5 of wave 1. She describes this setup as involving “a lot of 5s” for anyone tempted to chase the price action out of fear of missing out (FOMO).
The underlying wave count aligns with her assessment. XRP established a bottom near $1 back in August to kick off wave 1, climbed to a wave 3 peak near $1.70, and then pulled back to a wave 4 low near $1.25 during September.
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— TimesTabloid (@TimesTabloid1) June 15, 2025
Downside Targets After the Top
For the subsequent pullback, CasiTrades identifies targets at $1.26, $1.10, and potentially $0.87. An orange trajectory on her chart points downward to wave 2 near the 0.618 retracement level of $1.2614, passing the 0.382 mark at $1.4310 and the 0.5 level at $1.3462 along the way.
A lower green zone located around $1.09 corresponds with the 0.786 and 0.854 levels. The most severe downside target rests near $0.8746, a price point she has consistently mentioned throughout 2026. Following wave 2, the orange path shifts sharply to the upside.
The Signal That Changes Her Outlook
CasiTrades points to a specific scenario that would invalidate her current perspective. She is looking for “A strong push through ~$1.80” accompanied by the RSI breaking its previous high, which would substitute the anticipated divergence with genuine strength. Until that happens, her attention remains fixed on the $1.65 to $1.70 region.